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dominik2

08/21/15 7:05 PM

#148607 RE: Perseverance71 #148606

Wanna say scenario #2 but one seems more feasible
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TheWatcher51

08/21/15 10:08 PM

#148616 RE: Perseverance71 #148606

lol... Good post
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Pro-Life

08/21/15 10:17 PM

#148619 RE: Perseverance71 #148606

Door #2... without hesitation...
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USDollar

08/21/15 11:00 PM

#148621 RE: Perseverance71 #148606

like you said, "it's too early to tell", and like I said it too a bit differently

there is a need for confirmation before jumping to conclusions

in spite of such horrendous merciless mad selloff , my claculations tell me a weird story - if spy rallies 3.3% in the next seven days the reversal is postponed and we're back to bullishness and skinning bears alive

Even if that is not to happen, then (now harder to pull but not impossible) a later date high fractal close better than 211.3ish will do the same thing (this will be even more carnage than selloff if happens, only on bears)

So there are 7 days , a lot of freaking time for that +3.3% to be happening, and given the huge correction that just happened, they can pull that off in one day
But there is one other condition, the pig needs to close in the end like that or better, again, not much to expect in this crazy market, they can do way better than that with the free fed money!

not a fat lady singing yet, SEVEN DAYS TO GO FOLKS before that chance

I bet it will be a very interesting week ahead


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3kidsplus1

08/21/15 11:05 PM

#148622 RE: Perseverance71 #148606

I'm thinking 2011, that's the feeling I got here these last few days. I haven't looked back to charts yet but will try to find some sort of pattern. And as those in the market in 2011 know, when the markets finally bottomed that was a heck of a time to buy with both hands. Just be patient before going long in my opinion, when it bottoms it will be obvious. You should also look for some big buys coming in on various ETF/ETN when that happened back in 2011 I was watching XIV and noticed someone going long 5 million shares at around $5 and just recently it hit $50.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=XIV&p=W&yr=4&mn=0&dy=0&id=p52704952390

Back then XIV lost 75% of its value in that 2011 market correction down from $20-$5. I'm looking for that 75% correction again give or take.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=XIV&p=W&yr=4&mn=0&dy=0&id=p52704952390