It's only projected to go CAT 1 ... but the fact remains that a CAT 1 Hurricane last year didn't form until approx. July 5 or 6.
Personally, I don't believe the media hype that storms this year won't generally be as intense as last year... just look at what happened in Austrailia this year, approx. 3 of the worst Typhoons they've had in approx. 30 years... IMO, this year could be worst than last years, excluding the N.O. flooding via Levy breakage.