Replies to post #39607 on A.I.M. Users Bulletin Board (AIMUSERS)

[OldAIMGuy]

Hi Allen, Re: History repeating...........................

I have several investments that have been in plateau mode for quite a while. They move up and down, but if one looks at the overall slope, it is near zero. This could be indicative of a market consolidation, information overload with too much noise and not enough signal or could be something less friendly.

Here's an interesting recent commentary:
http://www.ftportfolios.com/Commentary/EconomicResearch/2015/5/27/black-swans--forecasting

[The Grabber]

Hi Allen:

With next year being a presidential election year, 'puffery and posturing' is going to happen regardless. ;-)

And if memory serves, the big drop doesn't tend to occur in those years. They wait until after the election.
The S&P bottomed in Sep, 2002 and Feb. 2009.