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SFSecurity

05/01/15 2:44 PM

#39471 RE: ls7550 #39470

Hi Clive, Most excellent and helpful explanation. I'm beginning to see how this type of allocation works. So many moving elements it's hard to see how they all fit together.

Best,

Allen
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karw

05/03/15 7:59 AM

#39472 RE: ls7550 #39470

Hi ls7550,

What a nice backtest tool!

Playing a bit with it, a 50% SCV + 40% SCInt + 10% EM returns a CAGR of 14.08 plus Maxdrawdown of 42%. Make sure to not use Log scale to get a good view of the results.
This combination can be built with the latest small cap dividend ETFs of Wisdomtree for example.

One could AIM this combination with a N way.

Best,K

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Conrad

05/03/15 10:28 AM

#39473 RE: ls7550 #39470

I noticed that on this Back Test Program
http://www.etfreplay.com/combine.aspx

the 3 year Buy & Hold Yield of Spy is almost 60%, due to its its almost "straight" line rise. Before 2011 SPY was rather highly volatile compared with the last 4+ years.
Over the last 3-year period used in the Link the Annual Reuturn would have been almost 20% per year over the Invested capital.

My Demo Vortex AIM Portfolio on SPY Annual ROTAI Yield of 27,33 % as of April 30, 2015.
Current Details on US$:

Start Capital = 20000
Added Capital in Stages = 30000
Current Reserve = 46031
Total investment = 7139
Weighted investment = 7447
Interest earned= 2022 (1)
Share number = 100
Share price = 208,46
Share value = 20846
Trading cost = 458
Dividend = 1148
Profit Total= 13707
Profit on Equity = 11685 (Discounting interest earned on Reserve)
ROTAI Yeild on alone Equity gain = 23,3% annually based on Invested not counting interest gain.

Interesting to note is the advantage AIMing over the buy and Reference Buy & Hold Case for SPY Discounting interest earning My AIM Yield as the Time Average Investment. . . as an approximate Buy & Hold Equivalent under the ROTAI Yeld Method for SPY for 4,33 years is about 3,5 % higher then the Buy * Hold for SPY over the last 3 years. OK, the Investment periods are not the same so I would have to make an adjustment for that.

(1) In July 2014 Interest rate on Reserve was changed for 2% to 1%. Currently the Bank interest in Holland is 0,9%.