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roguedolphin

05/14/06 4:13 PM

#43620 RE: avandalay05 #43618

I would love to be a contrarian on the US dollar but I find it hard to buck this controlled devaluation. It has been quite an orderly decline......no crash or anything yet.

Any dollar rally....which could come somehow, someday(?).....would possibly lead to some vicious selloffs in Gold ,Copper, Silver. etc in the short to intermediate term.(Don Coxe alluded to this a bit)

That may prove to be a buying oppurtunity again for those metals for the long-term. I'm really finding it hard to be bullish on the dollar right now but I'm looking for reasons(any help from the board appreciated).

The fundamental story for the US dollar is just awful(terrible twin deficits).....but I'm always looking for the "inflection point" of change in the long-term devaluation/(loss of purchasing power) of the US dollar. That point may still be far off in the future unless we do have a CRASH in the US dollar and much higher interest rates to compensate holders of US dollars.