Replies to post #28274 on Alto Ingredients Inc (ALTO)

[Dutch1]

Thanks anyway... I hoped somehow based on the total market value, EPS and Assets there would be a way to say that if we compare the Share Price PEIX has been trading for the last year(s) there is a way to say if today's shareprice is in line with what to expect.

I got the feeling that even though PEIX is likely to make a loss at this moment, the drop is highly over reacted and if we compare the market value of PEIX to what it was in the past, they should be worth much more then this.

Looking at this Chart PEIX is worth 191.71M, On February 26th 2014 it was 145M and on the 27th it was 240M, so that puts us somewhere halfway that day
http://ycharts.com/companies/PEIX/market_cap

Now what did happen that day was PEIX reported a record 4th quarter and the reopening of Madera.

Madera is still open, but PEIX might be losing money again. But will that set us back this quickly?
I know it's hard to tell, but I'm just seeking for an answer about what to expect if the margins stay this way and they would report earnings. Would People realize that PEIX is cheap, would PEIX keep on falling if they reported a loss like there would be based on todays margins? Or would they still think it should be worth less?
I know it's all speculation and you are right that they are worth what people are willing to pay.
Mostly the SP is based on what people are expecting to happen in the close future. So as long as ethanol might be dropping, PEIX will also. And Ethanol will keep on dropping as long as oil will.

Like I said yesterday oil would probably mover up after the EIA report (even though it wasn't as good as I expected) but at the end of the week it will probably go down again. As long as that happens I guess we are bound to fall further.

I'm not planning on investing more in PEIX or investing more money then I'm investing at this moment, since I'm all in at PEIX and I did "lose" enough on PEIX
But how low can they go.... I guess that if they drop another 50% it would be so cheap to double my shares that it would be stupid not to do so.
This has to go up sooner or later, or oild would have to drop death.