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zipjet

12/22/14 5:58 PM

#185043 RE: justrpaul #185039

Nice math work.

The impact of the $ESRX decision on $GILD is more clear.

Assume further that half* of the 77,500 GT1's get treated, suggests revenue of about $3.2B. That is the plus for $ABBV and the lost revenue for $GILD.

Thus, on the loss of $3.2B in revenue, GILD lost about $23B in MC or about 7x Rev lost.

ij


* Not sure that is a good assumption.

PS - I have been out of GILD for some time, but bought the dip today, sold some calls and some puts. I may be early but it again looks interesting to me.