If your the chartist you claim to be , you shouldn't have to guess . You should follow the chart , and if your incorrect cut your losses and re assess . Today's candle does not suggest .08 , today's candle is an inside day in which you should be long/short on a breakout up/down from yesterday's high/low on the red candle . Your 60 degree up trend still intact , and 14.75 support held . I'm not saying tomorrow doesn't go down but you cannot accurately infer anything basis today's action , until you get tomorrow's breakout . I admire your dedication to defend your position , however I do make the case yesterday's bearish engulfing pattern was not validated . Good luck bud . And cheers