optionlearner, change one part of your forecast
it will greatly help you be ok - just like pros are doing btw
change DEADLINE (i.e you say "by end of year") with a technical timer like "before turns bearish/weakens".
Do that and your chance to be correct will increase many folds.
In our example spy can go there on Jan 1st 2015 and while you COULD've been correct you are not because such little variable.
Not only it will make you look right, that's actually a little thing, unimportant really, but the big thing is it will put your mindset in the right gear for being a trader.
Take it or leave it, entirely up to you
Remember, a trader doesn't care of showing off, is not after such irrelevant thing
(exception is when a trader has a business/site and wants to attract followers, but even then is not for showoff per se but advertising)
I'm not opposing your forecast/s, or anyone's for that matter, and I think chances are good for yours to happen, just wanted to help you (plus helping me, by hopefully seeing the right approach repeated instead of a non-trading one).
p.s. did you go to the options board I mentioned in one of my last posts yet? They really have good advices and pointers in the intro, and you were interested in learning, no? I think even anyone can use some stuff found in that intro there.
As for traders there they are more into high speculative trades (meaning high risk but high payout if go well) , and might not be for just everybody level or trader-personality.
(I used to do some of that stuff myself many years ago. I had enough of joyrides and decided to calm down few notches, be a bit more conservative.. But I totally get them)
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