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Hurricane Ditka

10/30/14 1:38 PM

#21878 RE: DN216 #21873

Street sales estimate for Vivint: 7.5MM for the quarter and 25 for all of 2014.

So again if people are expecting $10MM+ for the quarter I'll be the first to embrace JN.

Keep in mind they have 120 million o/s compared to our who knows what but still, this is a huge moment for us if mgmt can deliver big numbers!!
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JTlive

10/30/14 2:12 PM

#21881 RE: DN216 #21873

I like it if it's true. Where did you get this info and is the company/CEO estimating over 10 million and profitable? You are correct that .35 if not .40. I'm looking for real guidance from the company and not just hope from guys like us?
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buckylaw06

10/30/14 2:12 PM

#21882 RE: DN216 #21873

I'll be perfectly satisfied with $10-12 million revenue for the third quarter. SUNworks only has so much installation capacity, and they were evidently operating at full capacity during the 2nd quarter given their stated backlog. Of course, we don't know how much they were able to increase their workforce/installation capacity for third quarter operations.

Also, recall there were anomalies with both first and second quarter revenue. The first quarter was only two months reported, since SLTD didn't own SUNworks for the month of January. Also, I seem to recall JN stated at the time of the Q1 report that some of the revenue that could have been recognized in the first quarter was instead held off and recognized in Q2. So, SUNworks didn't really increase its revenue by 600% quarter over quarter as claimed in the most recent, Oct. 15 PR.

SLTD has stated a revenue growth of approx. 300% year over year (see Aug. 26 PR). SUNworks' 2013 revenue was $8,552,975. So, that would be ~ $25.6 million for revenue this year at 300%. However, depending on how they intended the statement, 300% increase would actually mean a multiple of 4, netting us roughly $34 million revenue for 2014.

Let's go with the $34 million figure. First and second quarter combined was roughly $8.5 million. If we did, say, $11.5 million for Q3, that gets us to $20 million. Do $3 million increase again in Q4 ($14.5 M), and that would have us at $34.5 million on the year.

Seeing as the only revenue guidance SLTD has given us is the 300% figure, I think these numbers are pretty reasonable. If SLTD does blow these numbers out of the water, all the better. However, I don't think it's good to set expectations too high.