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oneinamillion

04/07/06 9:58 AM

#145734 RE: big_money_insiders #145731

No way, 20 pilot stores are not going to make a hill of beans-but 620 stores with a real advertising campaign means mega subscriber numbers.

billybass1234

04/07/06 10:03 AM

#145743 RE: big_money_insiders #145731

BMI, personally, I think you're being TOO generous by giving credence to JF/Chip's #'s.

Anything they say is suspect, given their history of embellishing the truth (and flat-out lying as in the "no more dilution" promise from JF).

xanadu

04/07/06 10:08 AM

#145747 RE: big_money_insiders #145731

If you were to take 4 per week per store with each store continuing to generate 4 per week per store you will get over 60,000 from CC alone. That is only one-half of what they projected. 4 per week, times 4.3 weeks a month, times 627 stores will be 10,784 NEW subs EACH MONTH AFTER all are on line. In the meantime, as they come on line there will be an incresing number per month to where there will be 60,000 FROM CC ALONE.


Buffalobill91

04/07/06 10:21 AM

#145755 RE: big_money_insiders #145731

even at your 25000x16.99x12mths=over $5mil/yr even with that small of a sub base... I could see how it could be profitable by the end of the year like they said even with that 25k subscriber base. 2007 will be the biggest growth year with CC firing on all cylinders and I wouldnt rule out a couple TV ads from them...a sale is a sale to a retailer..if they make it to 250k thats 50mil/yr coming in and 500k maybe 2008 is over 100mil/yr only 2 yrs off...

When a dvd is bought it only has to be bought again if there is more demand for it...and usually the biggest demand is with the new releases--so when the make a new purchase they have it forever usually ---right now they are trying to make their total selection grow- which is the most expensive time-maybe they should offer to buy used dvds/games to credit towards monthly subscriptions for now to get their stock up on older movies, or the ones that they do not have...Anyway- with only that and the cost of postage and minimal overhead at the Dcs, and fees to CC, I think we are still "under the radar" or at the the real money radar and that will soon come--so we are still way undervalued even with the o/s imo

oneinamillion

04/07/06 10:26 AM

#145764 RE: big_money_insiders #145731

BMI, if conservative 1,000 subscribers came from 10K for 12/31 from CC-I don't think anyone here argues with that number for 17 pilot stores during a partial period because rollout was not complete till mid quarter. Let't say conservatively we make it 2,000 for a full quarter for 17 stores(GZFX also not known on a large scale yet). (CC has over 600) stores. Take 40 times 17(to account for al stores)-You get 80,000 subscribers conservatively for 1 quarter. The rollout starts in May. So you need to add all those subscribers in before 4th quarter this year. Let's say 50,000 conservatively. 80,000 plus 50,000 equals 130,000. NOW ADD XBOX AND PS3 not in last year-You get 300,000 easy no matter how you play with the numbers and the equation. Sorry, if management wants to keep this quiet-It's kind of hard to do though,lol. Your 25,000 number is just foolish.