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Nikodemos

06/10/14 4:35 PM

#200100 RE: DirkDiggler85 #200084


To answer that question requires some "circular logic" (not sure
if that is the right English application of my thought so forgive
me if not & bear with me): Meaning, that for NTEK to BUYBACK
$3mm worth of shares (presumably on the Open Market) that means
they are generating the revenues & meeting their gross revenue
projections, are keeping their costs in line with their budget,
& have likely paid out their scheduled dividends, etc..

One would also be inclined to EXPECT that BOTH the NEW UltraFlix
product, as well as the 2 NEW Nuvola Models (Nuvola NP-1 & Nuvola
NP-C) have made their debut & business is going well.

It is HARD for me to envision those events taking place & the
pps remaining around $0.05 but IF IT DID then NTEK would have
bought 60mm shares. Add in the 40mm Foxconn that are expected
to be retired (within a year) & the O/S is sub-500mm (closer
to 450mm actually).


The aforemention CONFLUENCE of EVENTS just doesn't seem to suggest
that by years end; with HOLIDAY 4K Shopping being in play, NTEK
products out, NTEK delivering $2,040.00/Million shares of DIVIDENDS,
$3mm in Buybacks, & 100mm shares RETIRED to treasury, audits begun,
etc., that the pps will remain in this neighborhood going into December.



HOWEVER, as Warren Buffett has said: You CAN'T time the market!!

You do your DD & buy a good product, company, management, in a
strong up & coming sector, etc. - in OTHER WORDS: You BUY an
UNDERVALUED position when & wherever possible.

So, IF all these things came to pass & NTEK met their budget
projections, started the audits in 2014 as promised & delivered
on all these other BUDGETED (read: expected) items then NTEK
would be ONE VERY SEVERELY UNDERVALUED BUSINESS at that
price.

NTEK generating ~33MILLION DOLLARS in revenues would warrant
a FAR HIGHER PPS imho. Look, NTEK went to $0.175/$0.18 with
FAR LESS going for it than all these viable & revenue-generating
products. It would NOT be unreasonable to expect that NTEK could
get OVERVALUED** to the tune of a 250mm $ Market Cap or so as the
business moves into 2015. $250mm Market Cap on an O/S of ~470mm
shares is a ballpark $0.53 stock price.


At the NTEK SHM they mentioned not factoring in UltraFlix
business into their Forecast. But, they also CLEARLY seem
to have expected their Nuvola to be out to market also. So,
is that a trade off? Will UltraFlix outperform? IDK the answers,...
but NTEK appears UNDERVALUED to me, & has become INCREASINGLY
SO with time.


**Some may not think the pps/Market Cap OVERVALUED with this
type of NTEK execution on their business plan but the gross
sentiment remains as a BALLPARK figure. We are engaging in a
difficult speculative exercise & no one KNOWS what the ACTUAL
circumstances, numbers, developments, prospects, etc. will be.
Let's just keep that in mind here...

NTEK