Scuba, not sure if you mean 2016 when you say 2015. ATRS will not do anywhere close to $100MM in revenues next year. Here's my rough projection for the next 5 years:
2014 Rev = $30MM Net Profit = (Loss)(assumes 35% net margin for all periods below) Shares = 140MM (conservative) Price Est = $4.53 (discounting blended future earnings with 20x p/e and 20% annual discount rate)
2015 Rev = $55MM Net Profit = $19MM Shares = 140MM Price Est = $5.81
2016 Rev = $106MM Net Profit = $37MM Shares = 140MM Price Est = $7.27
2017 Rev = $186MM Net Profit = $65MM Shares = 140MM Price Est = $10.45
2018 Rev = $290MM Net Profit = $102MM Shares = 140MM Price Est = $14.50
Just as an FYI for calculating taxes - ATRS has $87M worth of Net Operating Loss (NOL) Carryforwards to offset federal income taxes. If their accountants are doing their jobs, they should also be tracking the state NOL's. So you should estimate a similar amount being offset for those as well.
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