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Sojourner Smith

05/18/03 1:08 AM

#108691 RE: WinLoseOrDraw #108685

I did.
I used 30 min charts.
I shorted and went long in pairs trades.
I used 200 share increments and enter up to 10 times.
I used large volume stocks and QQQ, SPY.

The results was the most consistant system I have created
or have found.
Drawdowns were not any worse than the common break-out systems.

The downside is it only produces about 20% per year.

My hands-on methods do better.
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TJ Parker

05/18/03 1:10 AM

#108692 RE: WinLoseOrDraw #108685

> i encourage you to build a comprehensive trading system based
> on that premise and backtest it.
>
> the results may surprise you.

well, as i've said, over the last two years, its performed well *for me*. if you randomly stick a pin in the chart of kopn or pmcs or rfmd or klic over the last year and assume you shorted there, you'd pretty much be far ahead at this time. with a little smarts in easing into a position, easing out of a position, and hedging the wiggles, my profit has been over 400% (since august 01). on the other hand, its been as high as 550% (roughly october and march of this year). so its plausible that things are not the same any longer ... but for that timeframe, it *could* be made into a valid strategy ....
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leptokurtosiss

05/18/03 1:27 AM

#108704 RE: WinLoseOrDraw #108685

WinLose,

>> build a comprehensive trading system ... and backtest it <<

Thanks for the encouragement. Perhaps one of these days.

Regards,

Lepto