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incubus-now

04/26/14 1:54 AM

#88527 RE: JG36 #88526

Have an artic storm in the SF Bay Area right now so you never know when it might happen. Guess we have to find out where 'hell' is and check it out. East coast was 'hell' this winter from what I heard and saw when there.

Benjii

04/26/14 3:21 AM

#88528 RE: JG36 #88526

No, Puffer always said a successful flu drug would be worth 10 billion (which equates to about $200) but that would only be achieved some time after Phase II or close to approval. He made the valuation case by modeling sales of current flu drugs Tamiflu and Relenza. I think most in the industry would agree with him, a successful flu drug would be worth something in that neighborhood just as a replacement for those 2 drugs. I think you could easily argue that a drug that actually works would drive an even bigger market than those two drugs currently represent.