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Re: obiterdictum post# 198883

Friday, 03/28/2014 2:57:36 PM

Friday, March 28, 2014 2:57:36 PM

Post# of 798213
I really don't know how such an order/settlement/legislation/agreement might be written up in terms of an enforceable instrument. My thinking was just about seeing what would have been if the third amendment had never existed and the overage on the payments to Treasury had reduced the LP, since that seems an equitable way of remedying the damages done by the amedment. Presumably the parties could agree, or a judge could so order, or congress so legislate.

As to why Freddie left out, I was not invested in Freddie at the time. This took considerable time to dig through all the filings to pull out the numbers. I did it primarily as an exercise in due diligence, to estimate the impact on value of "undoing" the third amendment.

The overpayment in total works out to 78,551 million in this scenario, here are the numbers, hopefully they will not be too ugly to read. Values are in millions of dollars...

Okay, I am nbot having much luck getting headings to line up, they are...

Date, Actual Draw, Actual LP, Actual Dividend, Actual % Dividend, Projected LP, Projected 10% Div, Paydown


2008-Q4 1,000 1,000 31 12.40% 1,000 25
2009-Q1 15,200 16,200 29 11.60% 16,200 25
2009-Q2 19,000 35,200 411 10.15% 35,200 405
2009-Q3 10,700 45,900 883 10.03% 45,900 880
2009-Q4 15,000 60,900 1,151 10.03% 60,900 1,148
2010-Q1 15,300 76,200 1,527 10.03% 76,200 1,523
2010-Q2 8,400 84,600 1,907 10.01% 84,600 1,905
2010-Q3 1,500 86,100 2,116 10.00% 86,100 2,115
2010-Q4 2,500 88,600 2,154 10.01% 88,600 2,153
2011-Q1 2,600 91,200 2,216 10.00% 91,200 2,215
2011-Q2 8,500 99,700 2,282 10.01% 99,700 2,280
2011-Q3 5,100 104,800 2,494 10.01% 104,800 2,493
2011-Q4 7,800 112,600 2,622 10.01% 112,600 2,620
2012-Q1 4,600 117,200 2,817 10.01% 117,200 2,815
2012-Q2 0 117,200 2,929 10.00% 117,200 2,930
2012-Q3 0 117,200 2,929 10.00% 117,200 2,930
2012-Q4 0 117,200 2,928 9.99% 117,200 2,930
2013-Q1 0 117,200 59,368 202.62% 60,762 2,930 56,438
2013-Q2 0 117,200 10,243 34.96% 52,038 1,519 8,724
2013-Q3 0 117,200 8,617 29.41% 44,722 1,301 7,316
2013-Q4 0 117,200 7,191 24.54% 38,649 1,118 6,073