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Tom K

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Tom K

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Thursday, 05/08/2003 5:17:52 PM

Thursday, May 08, 2003 5:17:52 PM

Post# of 37180
10 year decennial pattern

Interesting charts from Ned Davis Research in this PDF. Note page 6 charts of the 10 year decennial pattern and the 2002 seasonality chart. These are basically trend predictions based on historical seasonal patterns, presidential cycles etc. Trend is more important than level when looking at these charts. Note how the seasonality/cyclical forces for 2002 were fairly accurate, look to be about a month early in identifying major bottoms.

http://www.perkinscapital.com/4Q01ltr.pdf
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