Bebida Beverage Company (BBDA)

[PennyMann]

Michael Ajzenman with Madion Stock Transfer confirmed the following share structure info:

- 2/27/14 a/s 9.8b and o/s 4,519,976,772
- 3/11/14 a/s 9.8b and o/s 4,702,424,673

8 trading day change: 182,974,900

Madison Stock Transfer
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718-627-4453

Here's the trading volume from  OTCShortReport BBDA. The site may not she valid short selling info but it gives historical trading volume.

Trading volume by day:
2/28/14 284,581,247
3/3/14 111,680,809
3/4/14 142,789,403
3/5/14 54,845,582
3/6/14 53,243,525
3/7/14 175,891,649
3/10/14 58,081,394
3/11/14 tbd: at 40,764,846 as of this post

Total (as of post): 921,878,455
8 trading day o/s change as a % of trading volume: 19.9%

Trading pps ranges, courtesy of BigCharts.Marketwatch.com:

2/28/14 $.0024-$.0036
3/3/14 $.0029-$.0035
3/4/14 $.0025-$.0034
3/5/14 $.0017-$.0032
3/6/14 $.0025-$.0028
3/7/14 $.002-$.0028
3/10/14 $.002-$.0028
3/11/14 tbd: $.0019-$.0028 as of this post

Now, we are to believe it is all dilution hitting the BBDA trading volume. Heavy dilution is being cried. The pps highs each day are falling every day since 2/28/14. The pps lows each day are fluctuating dramatically. I don't have the per pps share volume so inferences must be made. Those who have "invested" for the long-term as of 2/28/14 are losing as the pps highs are falling. Short sellers selling high (borrowing) and buying low (covering) would be making out like bandits. Flippers buying low and selling high would also be doing well. 

182,974,900 shares have entered into the market since 2/28/14. I'll take the average pps of $.00265 since then times that outstanding share change to get $484,883 in stock value possibly obtained by BBDA (rough estimate here given my discussion so far). 

That leaves 738,903,555 in trading volume. No one can tell buys versus sells with the data available right? Well, I'll try to extrapolate based on "short volume" from OTCShortReport as % of possible sell volume. The same data available by SEC's SHO reports. 

2/28/14 33.62% x trading volume = 95,676,215
3/3/14 32.66% = 36,474,952
3/4/13 38.74% = 55,316,615
3/5/14 25.68% = 14,084,345
3/6/14 38.46% = 20,477,460
3/7/14 30.69% = 53,981,147
3/10/14 15.10% = 8,770,290
Possible sell volume share total = 284,781,024 x pps average $.0265 = $754,770

This "possible sell volume" represents trades categorized as sells or short sells. We can't pin point exact values of the two using data provided to traders at this time. Some would even argue there are some true buys in that estimated sell or short sell volume. 

So, we have 182,974,900 dilution from 2/28/14 to 3/10/14. We have about 284,782,024 shares possibly sells and short sales. That's about 467,755,925 shares possibly accounted for. We know trading volume was 921,878,455 as of this post. That's about 50% of trading volume possibly accounted for. Some could argue the remaining 454,122,530 is possibly buy volume. 

Many factors are at play with BBDA's pps. My analysis is mainly hypothetical due to not having actual buy versus sell data. I'm open to arguments. I've never seen anyone attempt this kind of analysis.