.....................{10 MAR '14}
... X X X X X X X X GROUP ( {P / S} ..to.. [ {C A R G} ..in Revenues.. ] ) MODEL ...
{ NOTE OF CAUTION... TO THE READER };
A)...the [ O V O E ], ...Business History..., [ 8 K {Report} ] ...."STILL"....
has NOT been filed, as of this date, [10 MAR '14], but it
must be disclosed before the equity is cleared for trading ..by the ( S E C ).
and...
B)..."ESTIMATES AND PROJECTIONS" ...ARE NOT FACTS...
1)...Per our current ..."conservative estimates"... from the Bi Weekly
Conference Call, of [ 8 MAR '14 ], ................if we assume,
..."theoretical and projected"...,
A)...Trailing Twelve Month Revenues, (T T M), of about [ $ 84 mm ]
for the { O V O E }, Fiscal Year Ending ...on (31 Dec '14),
AND ALSO ASSUME...
B)...say, about one hundred and twenty, [120 mm], Fully Diluted Shares
issued and Out Standing, [ O / S ],
then, fellow Bag Holders, the Fully Diluted, ...Price to Sales Ratio...
Calculation, might command something like... a Price to Sales
"multiple" of ...say, twenty times, [ 20 X ], it's Trailing Twelve Months,
{ T T M }, Projected Revenues Per Share of seventy cents, [.70];
( 20 X [.70] = ), or... a Projected Market Price of about [ $ 14 / Share ]...
...on or about ...( 'Xmas of '14 ) ! !
2)...Now, let's see the dramatic affect of delaying our sale {and / or}
gratification for a mere ...twelve to eighteen more months, if we concede
the "labored" X X X X X X X X Group,
...[ { P / S } to Growth Rate of Revenue ],
or, {CARG}, {Compound Annual Rate of Growth} ...in Revenue",
...Model Assumptions.
3)...Another way to try to understand the
...{ P / S to [ C A R G ] }... Ratio
is to simply ...ask yourself the question;
.....................SPECIFICALLY, ...HOW MUCH...,
...{ as measured by the [ P / S ] "MULTIPLE" }...
am I willing to pay for a company, whose Annual Revenues are expected
to increase by say ...one percent, during the coming Fiscal Year ?
4)...THE ESTABLISHED RULE OF THUMB IS,
THAT YOU SHOULD LOGICALLY BUMP THE PRICE,
WHEN { ...MEASURED BY... "THE MULTIPLE" },
...ONE UNIT... FOR EVERY ONE PERCENT INCREASE...
IN THE COMPOUND ANNUAL RATE OF
INCREASE IN the expected REVENUE GROWTH.
5)...So, if you expect the [ C A R G ] to increase from say, twenty
percent to say, forty percent, you would bump, or Bid the
[ P / S ] Multiple up from twenty times to forty times, such that,
you paid ..."a fair price"... for the projected, ...unit for unit..., [ C A R G ],
future increase in Sales, or Revenues...
6)...If, as we suspect, the .."second echelon".. of "Established" Revenue
Growth takes place, during the Fiscal Year, ...Ending [31 Dec '15],
then we can logically look for possibly, as much as a forty percent increase
in [ O V O E ]' s Price to Sales Ratio Calculation, TO WIT:
7)...If, as projected, the [ C A R G ] increases from twenty to forty,
then { O V O E }'s Fiscal Year Ending [31 Dec '15] Annual Revenues
will have increased
A)...from [ $ 84 mm (and / or), {.70} Per Share ]
to about...
B)...[ $ 117. 6 mm (and / or), {.98} Per Share ],
or our ..."now, to be paid for"... forty percent "MORE"...
of the {Year to Year} increase in Annual Revenues.
8)...ATTENTIVE UNDERGRADUATES WILL NOTE...;
{ i. e., ...this increase from... [ $ 84 mm to $117.6 mm ],
is ...a forty percent {Year to Year} increase in Annual Revenues }...
...AND ACCORDINGLY,
NOW, COMMANDS A [ P / S ] MULTIPLE, ...IF, AND ONLY IF,
YOU CHOOSE... TO BUY, OR SELL { O V O E } ...AT IT'S new
MULTIPLE OF FORTY AND IT'S NEW PRICE...
OF SAY, ALMOST FORTY DOLLARS PER SHARE, ...[ $ 39.20 ]...;
TO WIT:
( { 40 "X" [.98] } yields...A DRAMATIC NEW PRICE OF ...[ $ 39.20 ]...)
9)...ASSUMING, that all of our labored assumptions are valid,
consummated and properly executed, do you want to
...sell at [ $ 14 or $ 40 ] ?
10)...Dpanic, pay attention and take ...as much time as you need...,
such that, you make the proper decision on when to sell ...because
you will NOT get a ..."DO OVER"... as most children expect ...{L O L}
8^)
SISYPHUS
