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Thursday, February 20, 2014 5:17:45 PM
With really nothing left to cause ZERO to go lower now:
except:
1.) No news and a steady decline back to 80s.
2.) Another SA hit job.
3.) The technology fails to work as expected.
4.) Another change in management
5.) No institutional buying
6.) Insider selling
7.) Impatience by Retail buyers
8.) iHub shorts and bashers
9.) Silence and more silence
10.) All of the above
Let's look at them;
1) is a consequence of the others, so we can ditch that.
2) Maybe, but far less likely than last time, and most of the basis of the attack has been shown false. They called it a fraud last time. Now there are photos of it going on a TransCanada line. The facts just make that very hard.
3) It was developed WITH TransCanada and other companies for the last long-time (not sure how long; over 1 year at least, and probably dating back to the PRCI tests, so that would be over two years). There is no way they would put it on the line if they were not sure it was going to work. Of course, this is not to say that this is not a possibility. I just mean that it seems extraordinarily slim. I mean, if you're not sure if it's going to work very well, why put a team of engineers on it, help develop it for a year, pay for it, etc.? You don't. You're already damn convinced.
4) The last did not hurt the share price. It was smooth. And more changes do not seem likely now. (Unless a take over?)
5) We've seen huge institutional buying already. In any case, the last run-up was not based on institutional buying. If it clears $2, some people around here are saying that will open the door for institutions to purchsae shares.
6) Seems unlikely, especially if they see NASDAQ on the horizon?
7) Impossible to predict, but what impact would that have?
8) Their impact seems minimal.
9) I expect silence for a little while. This is perhaps the biggest issue. In the next few months we could expect to see:
*A 10Q earnings report showing income - not sure what impact that should have on PPS;
*A long-rumoured new contract from another company;
*A large order from TransCanada.
But if that is in 2-3 months time, then maybe we go through another slow decline, or a stasis, in that period.
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