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Re: airedale88 post# 17780

Thursday, 02/09/2006 6:35:40 AM

Thursday, February 09, 2006 6:35:40 AM

Post# of 51804
Airdale: Cycle Variation / Distortion

Your observation of cycle lows in individual stocks indicate investors are stepping through a perceived risk spectrum. As cycle bottoms vary on the order of weeks as you point out, they begin to appear out of phase. They begin to cancel each other out This is reflected in a sideways moving market. The disunity of cycle bottoms fits very well in Prechter's socionomic model.


How much has the window of cycle bottoms grown over the last 5 cycles?

What if the 78/80 week cycle for market indecise were computed by the average of its component 78/80 week cycles?

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