Friday, December 27, 2013 2:12:51 PM
Personally I will not be selling until some time after it lists to the NASDAQ, as I expect this stock to double by mid-late summer. As for your particular amount of shares, it really depends on if you need the money, what your trading strategy is. I assume you are after a high gain high risk strategy, and if that is the case, and you have another big spec play lined up, then I would sell and load up on that. If you think that the amount you would make off the stock doubling is worth waiting 6 months, then hold the shares.
If you are more interested in long term retirement style investing(hold the shares for years) keep in mind, consider these things:
After the RS the company is currently worth 144 Million. By the end of the year, estimates says that the E-cig Market will be 1.7 Billion in sales by the end of this year, and some estimate the sales will double for a few years to come, even reaching 40 Billion within 10 years (so think Bonnie Herzog of Wells Fargo). It is hard to say what exactly will happen, but based off the 40 billion estimate, even if VPCO only captured say 5% Market share, that would mean that they would have 200,000,000 in sales for the year of 2023, or a 8-10x increase from this year. This could possibly translate to an 8-10x increase in share price from the $9 it is today. it could be this successful or it may not, I can't see the future, but there is a lot to be gained in the years to come.
So again, is that long term gain worth it to you?
Also keep in mind that it will not be so cut and dry, as with only 16 million shares I expect future controlled dilution, or a Regular stock split as the shares get high in value. And there is always the high change of a stock buyout by a big Tobacco company.
So the TL:DR would be, it depends on how fast you are trying to grow your money vs how much risk you want to take. I will be holding these shares at least 6-12 months, maybe selling a few shares along the way for profits. I will re-evaluate my opinion as things develop. Good luck, in what ever you decide.
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