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Tuesday, December 10, 2013 11:41:41 AM
AAMRQ distribution formula version 2
AAMRQ 394.2 million fully diluted outstanding shares
AAMRQ debt with VWAP discount (5.655 claims / 0.965 discount) = $5860 million
AAMRQ debt $5.860 Billion claims + 1.817 billion owed union = $7677 million
AAL 756 million outstanding shares
source sec 8k filing
AMR stakeholders get 72% of the new company
Source BK dockets
Subtract out the 3.5% initial and AMR stakeholders get 68.5% at the distribution periods.
[(AAL * 756 million * 68.5% ) – 7677 million ]/394.2 million
Simplified
(AAL * 1.314) – 19.47 = AAMRQ value
(25 * 1.314) – 19.47 = $13.38
To calculate shares
([(AAL * 1.314) – 19.47] / AAL) * number of AAMRQ shares = AAL shares
So if you have 1000 shares and the stock stay at $25 for the 120 day distribution period.
Initial distribution 3.5% of the common goes to AAMRQ stockholders
1000 * [(756 million * 3.5%) / 394.2] = 67 AAL shares
Then for the next 4 distributions at 30,60,90 and 120 days
For each distribution 1000 / 4 = 250 AAMRQ shares
@30 ([(25 * 1.314) – 19.47] / 25) * 250 AAMRQ shares = 134 AAL shares
@60 ([(25 * 1.314) – 19.47] / 25) * 250 AAMRQ shares = 134 AAL shares
@90 ([(25 * 1.314) – 19.47] / 25) * 250 AAMRQ shares = 134 AAL shares
@120 ([(25 * 1.314) – 19.47] / 25) * 250 AAMRQ shares = 134 AAL shares
If AAL stays at $25 and you had 1000 AAMRQ shares at the end of 120 days you should have 603 AAL shares
IMO..JML
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