Friday, November 15, 2013 9:36:55 AM
Friday Charts: The Death Of TV, Annoying Politicians And The Most Unexpected Economic Stimulus Plan
Nov 15, 2013, 06:00
Lou Basenese
includes: GAS, IYT, NFLX, UNG
It's Friday in the Wall Street Daily Nation! That means the long-winded analysis is out. (Hallelujah!) And some carefully selected charts are in. (Amen!)
So without further ado, check out these snapshots that show the big thorn stuck in small business' side; how a single penny can provide $1 billion in economic stimulus; and the latest technological fad sweeping the nation - courtesy of the internet.
The Blame Game
I've featured the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index here before. So what's the latest reading tell us? Even when Washington is closed, politicians are still a major problem.
(click to enlarge)
In the latest survey, taxes and government regulations topped the list (again). Combined, the two categories ranked as the biggest problems facing 41% of small business owners. Third in line? Poor sales.
As Bespoke Investment Group noted,
It doesn't say much for the business climate in the United States when businesses are two and a half times more worried about how the government is going to regulate and tax them than they are about actually moving merchandise.
No, it doesn't.
Imagine for a moment what the economic recovery would be like if the government would just move and get out of the way. I know - not going to happen. So let's get back to reality…
No More Pain At the Pump
I'm pretty sure every American noticed that average gasoline prices are down more than 15% since February.
What many probably don't realize, though, is that every penny of lower gas prices per gallon yields $1 billion in economic stimulus, according to Deutsche Bank's Joe LaVorgna.
(click to enlarge)
If the price drops continue, look for consumer confidence and holiday spending numbers to perk up. Falling oil and gas costs promise to provide a lift to the transportation sector, too, making the iShares Transportation ETF (IYT) a timely investment.
Video Killed the Radio Star… and the Internet Killed TV
The internet relegated print media to insignificance. And it's about to do the same to traditional television.
More than five million Americans have already "cut the cord." That is, they ditched traditional pay television services in favor of online content from the likes of Hulu, Netflix (NFLX), Aereo, YouTube, Amazon Prime, iTunes video and Google Play. The trend is accelerating, too, according to new data from analyst Craig Moffett.
(click to enlarge)
From August to September, cable TV subscriptions dropped by 687,000. Meanwhile, the 800-pound gorilla in the online streaming industry, Netflix, notched another strong quarter of growth - adding 1.3 million subscribers.
So for every one American who ditched cable TV, almost two signed up for Netflix. The investment implications couldn't be clearer: Go short cable television and long video streaming.
That's it for this week.
http://seekingalpha.com/article/1842522-friday-charts-the-death-of-tv-annoying-politicians-and-the-most-unexpected-economic-stimulus-plan?source=email_authors_alerts&ifp=0
Nov 15, 2013, 06:00
Lou Basenese
includes: GAS, IYT, NFLX, UNG
It's Friday in the Wall Street Daily Nation! That means the long-winded analysis is out. (Hallelujah!) And some carefully selected charts are in. (Amen!)
So without further ado, check out these snapshots that show the big thorn stuck in small business' side; how a single penny can provide $1 billion in economic stimulus; and the latest technological fad sweeping the nation - courtesy of the internet.
The Blame Game
I've featured the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index here before. So what's the latest reading tell us? Even when Washington is closed, politicians are still a major problem.
(click to enlarge)
In the latest survey, taxes and government regulations topped the list (again). Combined, the two categories ranked as the biggest problems facing 41% of small business owners. Third in line? Poor sales.
As Bespoke Investment Group noted,
It doesn't say much for the business climate in the United States when businesses are two and a half times more worried about how the government is going to regulate and tax them than they are about actually moving merchandise.
No, it doesn't.
Imagine for a moment what the economic recovery would be like if the government would just move and get out of the way. I know - not going to happen. So let's get back to reality…
No More Pain At the Pump
I'm pretty sure every American noticed that average gasoline prices are down more than 15% since February.
What many probably don't realize, though, is that every penny of lower gas prices per gallon yields $1 billion in economic stimulus, according to Deutsche Bank's Joe LaVorgna.
(click to enlarge)
If the price drops continue, look for consumer confidence and holiday spending numbers to perk up. Falling oil and gas costs promise to provide a lift to the transportation sector, too, making the iShares Transportation ETF (IYT) a timely investment.
Video Killed the Radio Star… and the Internet Killed TV
The internet relegated print media to insignificance. And it's about to do the same to traditional television.
More than five million Americans have already "cut the cord." That is, they ditched traditional pay television services in favor of online content from the likes of Hulu, Netflix (NFLX), Aereo, YouTube, Amazon Prime, iTunes video and Google Play. The trend is accelerating, too, according to new data from analyst Craig Moffett.
(click to enlarge)
From August to September, cable TV subscriptions dropped by 687,000. Meanwhile, the 800-pound gorilla in the online streaming industry, Netflix, notched another strong quarter of growth - adding 1.3 million subscribers.
So for every one American who ditched cable TV, almost two signed up for Netflix. The investment implications couldn't be clearer: Go short cable television and long video streaming.
That's it for this week.
http://seekingalpha.com/article/1842522-friday-charts-the-death-of-tv-annoying-politicians-and-the-most-unexpected-economic-stimulus-plan?source=email_authors_alerts&ifp=0
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