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Re: leon post# 36

Tuesday, 04/22/2003 11:59:10 AM

Tuesday, April 22, 2003 11:59:10 AM

Post# of 55
Yes Leon,

You are right. I had 910-920 as a target and we are rapidly approaching it. I will certainly make some anticipatory sales in the next few days.

But...

There is a possibility that we have begun a new bull market. If so, sentiment and momentum indicators can remain overbought for a very long time. In '96 I remember watching the market catapult higher, and having similar conversations with my peers. But the market relieved its overboughts, and actually consolidated sideways. It never gave a real chance to cover. Vix can and will go below 20. I am reminded of the chapter in "reminiscences of a stock operator" when he is talking to the old timer and asks him if he will sell and the old timer scoffs and says "lose my position?, why its a bull market"

So...

The names I will keep will be the heavily shorted names in my long book-like AMD, OHP, WIN, HD, BBY, JPM, VRTS, BA, LH, CPN, and EP to name a few.

But...
You are right- just dont overcommit.


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