Tuesday, November 05, 2013 3:14:34 PM
8% royalty rate? You can't quantify the risk in this stock.
Your monte carlo analysis is nice but as I described before the calculation is simply based on sketching a box on a piece of paper and then randomly putting dots on the paper. From this you can calculate the area of the box via statistics. The problem here is you don't know the boundary of the box!
Thanks for your efforts but there are too many unknowns in this case.
The things I'm basing my investment off of are
-The CEO is a huge shareholder with a low salary
-Worlds has won in court before
-little dilution for the type of stock
-huge upside from current prices
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