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Re: kgoodrich post# 18723

Thursday, 01/19/2006 11:15:10 PM

Thursday, January 19, 2006 11:15:10 PM

Post# of 62520
Thanks for the info!!! It will be very helpful in the coming months. I will definately include it in my research. Thanks for clueing me in on the 'there's 52 months in a year' thingy... Awesome for analysis when data is viewed from that perspective.
Oh yes, back to the data... Before you sent it, I had alredy done some seasonality tests, and locked in to some funds.
I'm 1/3 in Emerging Markets (FEMKX), 1/3 in Latin America (FLATX) and 1/3 in Energy Services (FSESX). Canadian markets look good, but what can I say... Emerging Markets and Latin America have superior returns. Personally, I think Emerging Markets will shine this year if oil and Iran (synonyms?) don't throw a monkey wrench in the works. We'll know soon enough... Maybe I'll get a couple of notes from the principal, and go for the GOLD :)
I'm still a little skittish of the Japanese markets... In all fairness, they took a hickey early this week with the scandal, but bounced right back.
Fidelity's foreign markets (*anything* outside the US) require a 90 day investment, or you take a .75% hickey and a note from the principal if you pull out early. 4 notes from the principal in a rolling year and you're cut to 1 entry per quarter for a year.
The US funds only require a 30 day investment (subject to the 4 note rule), but given FSESX's potential in the coming months, I'll probably hang with it until week 10. During this period it runs 4.5% to 7.58% in a rolling 4 week period.
It's the period from week 6 until week 13 that is in question.
Both of the foreign markets I'm in either go flat or lose. FSESX peters out at week 10.
Maybe a time to crunch the numbers, drink a beer, and relax? There's a lot of opportunity starting at week 15.
Oh yea, my mutual fund portfolio goal is 5% per month return.
I've passed my January goal, and am within $1100 of the February goal as of Jan 19.

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