well, if we follow the bell curve scenario, the 4-month indecision in the right blue box should be symmetrical to the 4-month indecision in the left blue box...that is, we should move steadily down for several years mirroring the up move from 95 to 98: <A HREF="http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=$ndx,uu[r,a]macaynay[d19950101,20030409][pd20,2][j9107157,y]&listNum=1" target="_new">http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=$ndx,uu[r,a]macaynay[d19950101,20030409][pd20,2][j910...</A> yet, because there are attempts to "manage" the US markets, the Nikkei scenario may be more likely, that is a long-term decline punctuated by periods of rising ("bull") markets: <A HREF="http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=$NIKK,uu[r,a]macaynay[d19900101,20030409][pd20,2]&pref=G" target="_new">http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=$NIKK,uu[r,a]macaynay[d19900101,20030409][pd20,2]&...</A>