Seriously, you are right on track. Keep that philosophy and you shall do well trading. However, this is an APS play. Many things are predictable: The filing of the lawsuit. The shorting from an egotistical Lambo owner. 2-3 major dips. Someone will yell timber. Many will call fraud Etc. Best way to learn from an APS play is to just watch a couple until you are comfortable with your gamble. Or you can run scared and panic sell when someone yells timber. $XUII