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Tuesday, 03/18/2003 4:53:13 PM

Tuesday, March 18, 2003 4:53:13 PM

Post# of 447453
not that I subscribe to this; but it is interesting that Korea is heating up now as well
THE KOREAN DIVERSION
J. Adams
April 8, 1996
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Recent developments which imply extremists might soon take control in Moscow is taking place in a timely fashion for what might be an imminent North Korean invasion of South Korea. As pointed out in my article "A Global War?", Moscow is likel y planning to ignite the Korean Peninsula at the start of world war three in order to divert U.S. military forces into East Asia and tie-up the West's capacity to deliver war materials elsewhere around the world. Such a strategic diversion will leave the Middle/Near East (Europe?) open to being overrun by a Russian "Last Dash to the South" as foreshadowed in Vladimir Zhirinovsky's supposed autobiography.
There are strong indications North Korea is about to launch a surprise invasion of the South. Late last year, North Korea deployed nearly a hundred warplanes at formerly unused air-bases near the Korean border. Furthermore, the North beefe d up its artillery along the DMZ and increased combat readiness through some of the largest military exercises since the Korean War ended four decades ago. Lastly, several North Korean agents were captured or killed crossing into the South suggesting that Pyongyang ordered deep-infiltration of South Korea in preparation for an attack.

Following the North's final military preparations for a war with the South late last year, Pyongyang started making reassuring gestures and engaging in peaceful diplomacy with Seoul in order to secure the element of surprise for an eventual attack aga inst the South. North Korea quietly reached a critical nuclear agreement with the South and released South Korean fishermen that had previously been captured in the North's waters. Also, the North has recently been calling for negotiations to repla ce the Korean War Armistice with a full-fledged peace treaty.

While making peaceful overtures with the South, Pyongyang sought to further minimize the perceived North Korean military threat by feigning weakness and internal distress. During the past several months, North Korea has been making unprecede nted requests for food assistance from the outside world in response to a reported famine caused by summer flooding (the problem is not so much with the available supply as with distribution, suggesting stockpiling in anticipation of w ar). Likewise, supposedly due to a shortage of oil and food supplies, minimal North Korean military exercises occurred over the winter. Thus, an image of a weak and distressed North Korea has been projected in recent months such that the South dangerously underestimates North Korean military strength just prior to an attack.

In order to give a cover for the approaching attack, Pyongyang has been projecting the image of internal turmoil and political instability. North Korea's "Dear Leader", Kim Jong-Il, is still yet to formally assume power in the wake of Kim Il -Sung's July 1994 death. In association with this, recent rumors and signals from the North have suggested that Kim Il-Sung is incapacitated and the North Korean military has taken control of the country. Such a situation creates an ideal cover f or launching an invasion.

Since everything else is now in place, North Korea is now seeking to create a pretext for an attack. Last week, North Korea scrapped the Armistice that ended the Korean war and has since carried out three armed border intrusions along the Dem ilitarized Zone. These intrusions are flagrant violations of the cease-fire agreement between North and South Korea and are highly provocative. There are two possibilities. Either the North is seeking to provoke the South into firing the first shots of a second Korean war, or the North Koreans are seeking to desensitize the South Korean military to border incursions just prior to an actual surprise invasion. Either way, a new Korean war is imminent.

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