I have found bear markets more predictable and easier to spot how they end than bulls.
Here are 3 sure fire signs is time to sell and go short:
1. Car sales are getting much worse.
2. Financial stocks are underperforming (although not always a good indicator, did not work in 2010 and 11).
3. The most reliable is when the last rally is sharply up, with a lot more volatility. Look for daily moves up and down of 2% to signal the rally is the last for the bull market. Worked in 1987, 1998, 2000, and 2007. The bull that ended in 1990, topped in oct 1989, then went up and down into July, topping just over dow 3000. That was a good sign, round numbers on the dow. Dow 14000 this time?
