IMHO, FWIW: one month run-up to at least $4 is likely, so it's a darn good trade from here. At that point, I’d have my finger on the trigger. Would not hold through PDUFA! If limited approval, sell that day ($4.50 - $5 ???). If no approval, it’ll drop but not drastically (that already happened after the November ADCOMM meeting) probably to the high $2’s.
At that price it would be a great longer-term hold, because after one more safety study it should be fully approved in 2014, target $8 - $10.
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