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Re: None

Monday, 01/14/2013 9:58:12 AM

Monday, January 14, 2013 9:58:12 AM

Post# of 652149
Re DVAX, some possible strategies: Currently at $3.25. William Blair analysts just predicted a limited approval on Feb. 24 with a price target of $5.

http://seekingalpha.com/article/1109311-william-blair-analysts-are-gaining-comfort-ahead-of-dynavax-s-heplisav-pdufa

IMHO, FWIW: one month run-up to at least $4 is likely, so it's a darn good trade from here. At that point, I’d have my finger on the trigger. Would not hold through PDUFA! If limited approval, sell that day ($4.50 - $5 ???). If no approval, it’ll drop but not drastically (that already happened after the November ADCOMM meeting) probably to the high $2’s.

At that price it would be a great longer-term hold, because after one more safety study it should be fully approved in 2014, target $8 - $10.

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