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Wednesday, January 09, 2013 12:00:44 AM
First,
>>"I'm tired of all the dialogue and BS articles and am ready for the data release."
A-freaking-men!!! I've been in this sucker since March of 2010 or so. Way past time for resolution!
Second,
>>"the 380 event occurred around the time the company had projected from 5 years before..."
Clinical Trials keeps an archived version of every modification to trials that were ever made. In Feb 2008, the trial was expected to be over in Dec of 2009, with OS data available in ... Feb-2013 (next month!!)
When I started looking in 3/10, HEAT was supposed to be fully enrolled by the fall and the interim to be a couple months after that!
As enrollment dragged on ... and on ... and on... they kept pushing it forward, coming close to misleading investors about how enrollment was going.
It wasn't until after they increased enrollment to 700, having hit 600 last summer, that they were able to project "1H13". They then backpedaled that to "end of 2012", until the Sep-12 DMC review, when they solidified it to Jan13.
Since about 13 months ago, they have consistently underpromised and overdelivered. But they have definitely NOT been able to project with any kind of confidence from 5 years ago!
http://clinicaltrials.gov/archive/NCT00617981/2008_02_15
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