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Re: Rawnoc post# 6744

Saturday, 01/05/2013 10:31:20 PM

Saturday, January 05, 2013 10:31:20 PM

Post# of 16750
>>Your quote doesn't mention RFA at all (though it does say target population).

C'mon, he's been saying this for as long as I can remember. He's saying this all on the fly, so every cc is not going to have a nicely packaged quote covering every single definition.

He's talking specifically about the HEAT trial, our patients' population, RFA-only, as closely as they can estimate it. They say 12 months PFS for this population. He even says in six years the numbers do not change.

It's going to be 12 months for placebo. And if its wrong, its going to err on the side of being higher (better quality RFA equipment, clinical sites with top docs, patients in trials tend to do better than overall stats).

My guess is 14v24, with a month to either side probable.