New deal signed for $400/ton. So my numbers are very conservative.
IPI is trading at 19.4 times earning as of today. $22.64/$1.16EPS = 19.4 times
Assume OPEX production cost $75/tonne ($71 on presentation) Assume Other cost $100/tonne ($91 on presentation) Assume Postash $350/tonne ($400/ton on new deal) Assume Shares outstanding 350 mil shares (274 mil now)
This is for MOP only. 250k tonnes 2015 .125/eps x 18 times earning = $2.25/share 750k tonnes 2016 .375/eps x 18 times earning = $6.75/share 1m tonnes 2017 .50/eps x 18 times earning = $9 /share
For SOP. Normally $150 more premium. But I used $100 instead. 250k tonnes 2015 .196/eps x 18 = $3.53/share 750k tonnes 2016 .589/eps x 18 = $10.6/share 1m tonnes 2017 .785/eps x 18 = $14.14 /share
MOP and SOP together. AAA should be trading at 250k tonnes 2015 $5.78/share 750k tonnes 2016 $17.53/share 1m tonnes 2017 $23.14/share
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