I believe that THQ (THQI) is trading far below its fair valuation on overhyped bankruptcy fears. In this article, I will provide an overview of THQ and my investment approach. I plan to release a follow-up article with in-depth sales analytics, in-depth catalyst overview, in-depth IP valuation, and a look at respective takeover candidates. With my model based on a 30% bankruptcy ($0), 30% takeover ($12), 30% mediocre turnaround ($15) and 10% full turnaround ($50) by 2014, and after applying a 20% discount rate, I am giving THQ a "fair value" price target of $9.10.
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