InvestorsHub Logo
Followers 218
Posts 38765
Boards Moderated 0
Alias Born 04/29/2008

Re: tykundegex post# 203869

Thursday, 11/15/2012 7:07:39 AM

Thursday, November 15, 2012 7:07:39 AM

Post# of 312016
The problems with your analysis:
- IR's estimate of market value is meaningless. Not only is it unstated in the 10Q, it's a number that can only come from the CFO to have validity.
- There's not necessarily a link between COGS used in the GAAP financial reporting and COGS used to value inventory. In fact, the notion that the sold fuel had a margin of near 0 and the unsold fuel had one of 70% defies logic in the extreme.
- If they can't sell a larger amount of fuel then they did sell during that quarter, there's a big problem.
- If production is increasing (let's hope so), then it's likely inventory will grow as well. That increases storage costs and (as mentioned in the last point) indicates a shortage of buyers. A well run business produces products to meet the level of demand. Storing more than a quarter's worth of your product does not indicate such.

Inventory build is often an indicator of a failing business. When it comes this early in a company's history with a low volume of production, it's worse. Perhaps you can get IR to comment on why it's occurring.

I receive NO compensation to post ANYTHING. I AM NOT short this stock.

"The world is a dangerous place, not because of those who do evil,but because of those who look on and do nothing". Albert
Einstein