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Re: Gary15 post# 597

Thursday, 11/08/2012 3:20:53 PM

Thursday, November 08, 2012 3:20:53 PM

Post# of 114805
I don't think the future price or exact demand for Niobium is the main concern and drive behind a deal. It's the security that it buys a company. An agreement with Quantum means Niobium will always be available to them and a predictable cost. Last year some Chinese companies took a 15% stake in CMBB for about $2 billion. CMBB provides I around 86% of the worlds demand. Having only one outlet that supplies almost everyone brings a certain amount of risk if your company has an absolute need for it. Something catastrophic or unexpected could happen at CBMM, then what do you do?

I agree with you that it's a rough road ahead in the U.S./Europe and demand in certain countries will most likely slow down.

At the same time there are lots other countries that are/were using cheap substitutes for Niobium but are adopting it's use. And there's lots of countries with healthy growth rates GDPWorldwide Which would counteract slowed demand in other parts of the world. China is one of good example, probably India too. China also has a lower class that is steadily making more and more money. They're buying things that contain niobium; computers, iPhones, tablets, I don't know, Gillette razor blades? Could probably go on and on about that. I read an article about China's lower class recently, as a whole they spend all their paycheck to improve their quality of life. And credit cards are being introduced to them now as well, I think Citibank is heading that effort up.
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