Nate Silver's FINAL run, 4:00AM ET Nov. 6, 2012: Electoral Vote: Obama 314.6 - Romney 223.4 Obama +15.6 since Oct. 30 Chance of Winning: Obama 91.6% - Romney 8.4% Obama +14.2 since Oct. 30 Popular Vote: Obama 50.9% - Romney 48.3% Obama +0.5 since Oct. 30, Romney -0.2 since Oct. 30 http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/