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Alias Born | 09/26/2012 |
Monday, November 05, 2012 7:43:32 AM
After just a one-day bounce off its lows on November 1, the Nasdaq 100 Index ($NDX) plunged right back down to pivotal, long-term support of its 200-day moving average just one day later. Why is the Nasdaq displaying such relative weakness to the rest of the major indices? Blame it in no small part on the persistent bearishness and downright ugly chart pattern of Apple ($AAPL), a former market leader and heavily-weighted stock within the Nasdaq 100 Index.
Last Friday (November 2), AAPL sliced through crucial support of its 200-day moving average for the first time since June of 2011. Now, AAPL is also in danger of losing horizontal price support of its prior “swing low” from July of 2012. If it does, it will become the first convincing “lower low” that AAPL has formed in years. As an example of just how negative recent price action has been, notice on the annotated chart below that AAPL plunged 3.3% last Friday, well below its recent low, even though the main stock market indexes still retained a portion of their previous day’s gains. AAPL has become a clear example of a stock exhibiting bearish divergence and relative weakness to the broad market:
Although our bearish analysis will undoubtedly anger the loyal army of Apple fanboys, we are merely being objective by saying that recent price action of AAPL (and quite a few other former market leaders) indicates a changing of the guards is on the horizon. However, the big problem is the replacement guards have not yet arrived. Until new leadership stocks start popping up, there will likely be no impetus for a sustainable broad-based rally.
In conclusion, if you've been holding $AAPL for a while, did not yet sell, and are still holding out hope (a very deadly emotion) that the stock will recover, be warned that you are playing a very dangerous game. We personally view any substantial bounce in the stock as a chance to sell into strength and/or initiate a new short position, because the technical are indicating further downside to come.
Recent AAPL News
- Alphabet Unveils AlphaProof and AlphaGeometry 2; OpenAI Tests SearchGPT; Apple Loses Market Share in China • IH Market News • 07/26/2024 10:07:41 AM
- Meta Unveils Llama 3 AI Model, Elon Musk’s X Poll Backs Tesla’s $5B xAI Investment, and More • IH Market News • 07/24/2024 09:53:32 AM
- Johnson Controls Division Sold for $8 Billion; Alphabet’s Offer Rejected by Wiz; AMD President Announces Retirement • IH Market News • 07/23/2024 10:00:52 AM
- Microsoft Shares Drop 2% and CrowdStrike Plunges 21% Pre-Market Following Major Global Outage • IH Market News • 07/19/2024 10:01:22 AM
- Darden Acquires Chuy’s for $605M, BYND Drops 14% Amid Debt Restructuring, Petco Appoints Ex-Five Below CEO • IH Market News • 07/18/2024 09:59:44 AM
- Apple scores record 72 Emmy Award nominations & sweeps across top categories including Outstanding Limited series for “Lessons in Chemistry,” Outstanding Drama for “The Morning Show” & “Slow Horses” & Outstanding Comedy for “Palm Royale” • Business Wire • 07/17/2024 10:05:00 PM
- Match Group Soars 8% Amid Potential Sale Pressure; Deutsche Bank Anticipates 2Q Loss, and More • IH Market News • 07/16/2024 10:10:09 AM
- Alphabet Nears $23 Billion Wiz Acquisition, Trump Media Stock Soars 63% Pre-Market, and More • IH Market News • 07/15/2024 10:34:36 AM
- Ericsson Reports 14% Profit Increase, UBS Downgrades Tesla Shares, Ozempic Linked to Reduced Dementia Risk • IH Market News • 07/12/2024 10:28:11 AM
- Tamer-Than-Expected Inflation Data May Lead To Extended Rally On Wall Street • IH Market News • 07/11/2024 01:09:48 PM
- Costco Hikes Membership Fees; ON Semiconductor Stock Drops 3%; WD-40 Soars 13% on Strong Q3 Earnings • IH Market News • 07/11/2024 10:17:26 AM
- U.S. Stocks Rally Ahead Of Close Watched Inflation Data • IH Market News • 07/10/2024 08:44:00 PM
- NEAR Achieves New Milestones, TIA Faces Market Volatility, Block Unveils Advanced Mining Chips • IH Market News • 07/10/2024 07:47:39 PM
- Tech Stocks May Lead Initial Upward Move On Wall Street • IH Market News • 07/10/2024 01:11:51 PM
- Microsoft and Apple Exit OpenAI Board, TSMC Exceeds Forecasts with Record Revenue, and Other Key Updates • IH Market News • 07/10/2024 10:42:17 AM
- Paramount-Skydance $28B Merger, Boeing Agrees to Plead Guilty with $243.6M Fine, and More News • IH Market News • 07/08/2024 10:37:52 AM
- Apple Joins OpenAI Board, Logitech President Opts Out of Reelection, and More News • IH Market News • 07/03/2024 10:59:39 AM
- U.S. Stocks Close Higher; Nasdaq Outperforms • IH Market News • 07/01/2024 09:10:17 PM
- Dow Dips, Nasdaq Gains, Oil Prices Rise • IH Market News • 06/26/2024 11:00:03 AM
- SolarEdge Stock Falls 13%, Wegovy Approved in China, Grail Nasdaq Debut, Apple Rejects Meta Chatbot • IH Market News • 06/25/2024 10:36:11 AM
- UPS Divests Coyote Logistics in $1.025 Billion Deal with RXO, Under Armour Agrees to $434 million Settlement, and More News • IH Market News • 06/24/2024 11:00:20 AM
- Trump Media Resells Stocks and Warrants; KB Home Exceeds Q2 Expectations, and More News • IH Market News • 06/20/2024 10:55:11 AM
- Apple The Exchange TRX to welcome its first customers this Saturday, June 22, in Kuala Lumpur • Business Wire • 06/20/2024 02:00:00 AM
- Nvidia Overtakes Microsoft To Become World’s Most Valuable Company • IH Market News • 06/19/2024 09:32:08 AM
- Fisker Files for Bankruptcy, Chegg Stocks Rise on 23% Workforce Reduction, and More • IH Market News • 06/18/2024 11:02:13 AM
Glidelogic Corp. Announces Revolutionary AI-Generated Content Copyright Protection Solution • GDLG • Jul 26, 2024 12:30 PM
Southern Silver Files NI43-101 Technical Report for its Updated Preliminary Economic Assessment for the Cerro Las Minitas Project • SSV • Jul 25, 2024 8:00 AM
Greenlite Ventures Completes Agreement with No Limit Technology • GRNL • Jul 19, 2024 10:00 AM
VAYK Expects Revenue from First Airbnb Property Starting from August • VAYK • Jul 18, 2024 9:00 AM
North Bay Resources Acquires Mt. Vernon Gold Mine, Sierra County, California, with Assays up to 4.8 oz. Au per Ton • NBRI • Jul 18, 2024 9:00 AM
Nightfood Holdings Signs Letter of Intent for All-Stock Acquisition of CarryOutSupplies.com • NGTF • Jul 17, 2024 1:00 PM