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Wednesday, 10/10/2012 5:36:37 PM

Wednesday, October 10, 2012 5:36:37 PM

Post# of 230
What is thge value of an Acre of Shale??

A Recent Report on Shale Plays:(October 4, 2012)

The following paragraph verbatum:

"Within Australia, there has been a rapid expansion of E&P's which are pursuing shale opportunities. Santos
is the largest company given its dominant position within the Cooper Basin. The next largest company is
Beach Petroleum, which is the only other E&P in the sector over AUD1bn which is targeting shale. Adding
all the companies together, the total market cap of the Australian E&P shale sub-segment is A$5bn.. In terms of acreage and valuation – there are a large range of values and acreage positions. Acreage ranges
from 1-14MM acres and valuation ranges from < $A100/acre in some of the frontier plays to greater than A$1000 in some of the more established plays in the Cooper Basin..."

If we attribute all of the current cap of PFC as being land then if we divide by its 14Million acres, we have a value per acre of $3.96.................this is a long ways away from $100/acre or even @20/acre....

With such a cushion for value, StatOil should be very happy with its deal. The upside here is monumental and patience is a key ingredient and the muscle of StatOil will make things happen big time.

Read more at http://www.stockhouse.com/bullboards/messagedetail.aspx?p=0&m=31639735&l=0&r=0&s=pfc&t=LIST#Mdut3Ry6cCTZUt1M.99


Well if you take a 1/3 of the acreage (stat oil other 2/3) this still leaves 4.66 million acres. At $100 an acre that equates to 466 million dollars. With say 100 million shares out that equates to $4.66 / share. At the high end of $1000 an acre that would equate to $46.66 a share. Of course all of this depends on finding petroleum in economic quanities on these leases. With three wells about to test or being tested we should know shortly where PFC stands. The upside would be astronomical if the first tests are significant.
Read more at http://www.stockhouse.com/bullboards/messagedetail.aspx?s=pfc&t=LIST&m=31639735&l=0&pd=2&r=0#2Efy7jJ0b02sqCBQ.99


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