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Re: rtb_all_american post# 5951

Friday, 10/07/2005 9:00:29 PM

Friday, October 07, 2005 9:00:29 PM

Post# of 44374
rbt gte vs mrk. Obviously mrk is much bigger but here it is.

VectorVest Stock Analysis of GlobeTel Comm as of 10/7/2005


Thank you for requesting an analysis of GlobeTel Comm from VectorVest. The ticker symbol for GlobeTel Comm is GTE. GTE is traded on the American Stock Exchange - (A)

Analysis Summary
GTE is overvalued compared to its Price of $1.31 per share, has somewhat below average safety, and is currently rated a Sell.

In-Depth Analysis
Business: GlobeTel Comm, (GTE) is a group of business-to-business and business-to-consumer companies involved in telecommunications and technology businesses.

Price: GTE closed on 10/7/2005 at $1.31 per share

Value: Value is a measure of a stock's current worth. GTE has a current Value of $0.23 per share. Therefore, it is overvalued compared to its Price of $1.31 per share. Value is computed from forecasted earnings per share, forecasted earnings growth, profitability, interest, and inflation rates. Value increases when earnings, earnings growth rate and profitability increase, and when interest and inflation rates decrease. VectorVest advocates the purchase of undervalued stocks. At some point in time, a stock's Price and Value always will converge.

RV (Relative Value): RV is an indicator of long-term price appreciation potential. GTE has an RV of 0.74, which is poor on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. This indicator is far superior to a simple comparison of Price and Value because it is computed from an analysis of projected price appreciation three years out, AAA Corporate Bond Rates, and risk. RV solves the riddle of whether it is preferable to buy High growth, High P/E stocks, or Low growth, Low P/E stocks. VectorVest favors the purchase of stocks with RV ratings above 1.00.

RS (Relative Safety): RS is an indicator of risk. GTE has an RS rating of 0.85, which is fair on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. RS is computed from an analysis of the consistency and predictability of a company's financial performance, debt to equity ratio, sales volume, business longevity, price volatility and other factors. A stock with an RS rating greater than 1.00 is safer and more predictable than the average stock in the VectorVest database. VectorVest favors the purchase of stocks of companies with consistent, predictable financial performance.

RT (Relative Timing): RT is a fast, smart, accurate indicator of a stock's price trend. GTE has a Relative Timing rating of 0.36, which is very poor on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. RT is computed from an analysis of the direction, magnitude, and dynamics of a stock's price movements over one day, one week, one quarter and one year time periods. Once a stock's price has established a strong trend, it is expected to continue in that trend for the short-term. If a trend dissipates, RT will gravitate toward 1.00. RT will explode from bottoms, dive from tops, and reflect changes in price momentum. VectorVest favors the purchase of stocks with RT ratings above 1.00.

VST (VST-Vector): VST is the master indicator for ranking every stock in the VectorVest database. GTE has a VST rating of 0.66, which is poor on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. VST is computed from the square root of a weighted sum of the squares of RV, RS, and RT. Stocks with the highest VST ratings have the best combinations of Value, Safety and Timing. These are the stocks to own for above average, long-term capital appreciation. VectorVest advocates the purchase of safe, undervalued stocks rising in price.

CI (Comfort Index): CI is an indicator which reflects a stock's ability to resist severe and/or lengthy price declines. GTE has a CI rating of 0.32, which is very poor on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. CI is quite different from RS in that it is based solely upon a stock's long-term price history. VectorVest advocates the purchase of high CI stocks.

GRT (Earnings Growth Rate): GRT reflects a company's one to three year forecasted earnings growth rate in percent per year. GTE has a forecasted Earnings Growth Rate of 33.00%, which VectorVest considers to be excellent. GRT is computed from historical, current and forecasted earnings data. It is updated each week for every stock in the VectorVest database. GRT often foretells a stock's future price trend. If a stock's GRT trend is upward, the stock's price will likely rise. If GRT is trending downward, the stock's Price will probably fall. VectorVest favors the purchase of stocks whose GRT is rising and is greater than the sum of current inflation and interest rates, (9.17%).

Recommendation (REC): VectorVest gives a Buy, Sell, Hold recommendation on every stock, every day. GTE has a Sell recommendation. REC reflects the cumulative effect of all the VectorVest parameters working together. These parameters are designed to help investors buy safe, undervalued stocks rising in price. They also help investors avoid or sell risky, overvalued stocks falling in price. VectorVest recommends that investors buy high VST-Vector, Buy-rated stocks in rising markets.

Stop (Stop-Price): Stop is an indicator of when to sell a long position or cover a short position. GTE has a Stop of $1.49 per share. This is $0.18 above GTE's current closing Price. A stock's Stop is computed from a 13 week moving average of its closing prices, and is fine-tuned according to the stock's fundamentals. High RV, high RS stocks have lower Stops, and low RV, low RS stocks have higher Stops. In the VectorVest system, a stock gets a 'B' or 'H' recommendation if its Price is above its Stop and an 'S' recommendation if its Price is below its Stop.

EPS (Earnings per Share): EPS stands for leading 12 months Earnings Per Share. GTE has a forecasted EPS of $-0.31 per share. VectorVest determines this forecast from a combination of recent earnings performance and traditional fiscal and/or calendar year earnings forecasts.

P/E (Price to Earnings Ratio): P/E is a popular measure of stock valuation which shows the dollars required to buy one dollar of earnings. GTE has a P/E of -4.23. This ratio may be deemed to be high or low depending upon your frame of reference. The average P/E of all the stocks in the VectorVest database is 25.35. P/E is computed daily using the formula: P/E = Price/EPS.

EY (Earnings Yield): EY reflects earnings per share as a percent of Price. EY is related to P/E via the formula, EY = 100 / (P/E), and may be used in place of P/E as a measure of valuation. EY has the advantages that it is always determinate and can reflect negative earnings. GTE has an EY of -23.57 percent. This is below the current average of 3.93% for all the stocks in the VectorVest database. EY equals 100 x (EPS/Price).

GPE (Growth to P/E Ratio): GPE is another popular measure of stock valuation. It compares earnings growth rate to P/E ratio. GTE has a GPE rating of -7.77. High growth stocks are believed to be able to justify high P/E ratios. A stock is commonly considered to be undervalued when GPE is greater than 1.00 and overvalued when GPE is below 1.00. Unfortunately, this rule of thumb does not take into account the effect of interest rates on P/E ratios. The operative GPE ratio of 1.00 is valid when and only when interest rates equal 10%. With long-term interest rates currently at 5.57%, the operative GPE ratio is 0.31. Therefore, GTE may be considered to be overvalued.

DIV (Dividend): VectorVest reports annual, regular, cash dividends as indicated by the most recent payments. Special distributions, one-time payments, stock dividends, etc., are not generally included in DIV. GTE does not pay a dividend.

DY (Dividend Yield): DY reflects dividend per share as a percent of Price. GTE does not pay a dividend, so it does not have a Dividend Yield rating. . DY equals 100 x (DIV/Price). It is useful to compare DY with EY. If DY is not significantly lower than EY, the dividend payment may be in jeopardy.

DS (Dividend Safety): DS is an indicator of the assurance that regular cash dividends will be declared and paid at current or at higher rates for the foreseeable future. GTE does not pay a dividend, so it does not have a Dividend Safety rating . Stocks with DS values above 75 typically have RS values well above 1.00 and EY levels that are much higher than DY.


DG (Dividend Growth Rate): Dividend Growth is a subtle yet important indicator of a company's financial performance. It also provides some insight into the board's outlook on the company's ability to increase earnings. GTE does not pay a dividend, so it does not have a Dividend Growth rating .

YSG (YSG-Vector): YSG is an indicator which combines DIV, DY and DG into a single value, and allows direct comparison of all dividend-paying stocks in the database. GTE does not pay a dividend, so it does not have a YSG rating . Stocks with the highest YSG values have the best combinations of Dividend Yield, Safety and Growth. These are the stocks to buy for above average current income and long-term growth.

Open: GTE opened trading at a price of $1.31 per share on 10/7/2005.

High: GTE traded at a High price of $1.36 per share on 10/7/2005.

Low: GTE traded at a Low price of $1.25 per share on 10/7/2005

Close: GTE closed trading at price $1.31 per share on 10/7/2005. (Close is also called Price in the VectorVest system)

Range: Range reflects the difference between the High and Low prices for the day. GTE traded with a range of $0.11 per share on 10/7/2005.

$Change: GTE closed up 0.01 from the prior day's closing Price.

%PRC: GTE's Price changed 0.77% from the prior day's closing price.

Volume: GTE traded 510,300 shares on 10/7/2005.

AvgVol: AvgVol is the 50 day moving average of daily volume as computed by VectorVest. GTE has an AvgVol of 920,500 shares traded per day.

%Vol: %Vol reflects the percent change in today's trading volume as compared to the AvgVol. %Vol equals ((Volume - AvgVol) / AvgVol ) * 100. GTE had a %Vol of -44.56% on 10/7/2005

Sales: GTE has annual sales of $59,000,000.00

Sales Growth: Sales Growth is the Sales Growth Rate in percent over the last 12 months. GTE has a Sales Growth of 419.00% per year. This is excellent. Sales Growth is updated each week for every stock. It is often useful to compare Sales Growth to Earnings Growth to gain an insight into a company's operations.

Sales Per Share (SPS): GTE has annual sales of $0.76 per share. SPS can be used as a measure of valuation when comparing stocks within an Industry Group.

Price to Sales Ratio (P/S): GTE has a P/S of 1.73. This ratio is also used as a measure of valuation. Here, too, it is useful when comparing stocks within an Industry Group.

Shares: GTE has 78,000,000.00 shares of stock outstanding.

Market Capitalization: GTE has a Market Capitalization of $103,000,000.00. Market Capitalization is calculated by multiplying price times shares outstanding.

Industry Group: GTE has been assigned to the Telecomm (Services) Industry Group. VectorVest classifies stocks into over 200 Industry Groups and 40 Business Sectors.

Business Sector: GTE has been assigned to the Telecomm Business Sector. VectorVest classifies stocks into over 200 Industry Groups and 40 Business Sectors.

The basic strategy of VectorVest is to buy Low risk, High reward stocks. We suggest that Prudent investors buy enough High Relative Value, High Relative Safety stocks to keep the overall RV and RS ratings of their portfolios above 1.00. As you do this, you'll find that your risk will go down and your investment performance will improve.



VectorVest Stock Analysis of Merck & Co. as of 10/7/2005


Thank you for requesting an analysis of Merck & Co. from VectorVest. The ticker symbol for Merck & Co. is MRK. MRK is traded on the New York Stock Exchange - (xN) and options are available for this stock

Analysis Summary
MRK is undervalued compared to its Price of $25.85 per share, has about average safety, and is currently rated a Sell.

In-Depth Analysis
Business: MERCK & CO, (MRK) operates as a global research-driven pharmaceutical company that discovers, develops, manufactures and markets a broad range of human and animal health products, directly and through its joint ventures, and provides pharmaceutical benefit services

Price: MRK closed on 10/7/2005 at $25.85 per share

Value: Value is a measure of a stock's current worth. MRK has a current Value of $33.78 per share. Therefore, it is undervalued compared to its Price of $25.85 per share. Value is computed from forecasted earnings per share, forecasted earnings growth, profitability, interest, and inflation rates. Value increases when earnings, earnings growth rate and profitability increase, and when interest and inflation rates decrease. VectorVest advocates the purchase of undervalued stocks. At some point in time, a stock's Price and Value always will converge.

RV (Relative Value): RV is an indicator of long-term price appreciation potential. MRK has an RV of 1.10, which is good on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. This indicator is far superior to a simple comparison of Price and Value because it is computed from an analysis of projected price appreciation three years out, AAA Corporate Bond Rates, and risk. RV solves the riddle of whether it is preferable to buy High growth, High P/E stocks, or Low growth, Low P/E stocks. VectorVest favors the purchase of stocks with RV ratings above 1.00.

RS (Relative Safety): RS is an indicator of risk. MRK has an RS rating of 0.96, which is fair on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. RS is computed from an analysis of the consistency and predictability of a company's financial performance, debt to equity ratio, sales volume, business longevity, price volatility and other factors. A stock with an RS rating greater than 1.00 is safer and more predictable than the average stock in the VectorVest database. VectorVest favors the purchase of stocks of companies with consistent, predictable financial performance.

RT (Relative Timing): RT is a fast, smart, accurate indicator of a stock's price trend. MRK has a Relative Timing rating of 0.77, which is poor on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. RT is computed from an analysis of the direction, magnitude, and dynamics of a stock's price movements over one day, one week, one quarter and one year time periods. Once a stock's price has established a strong trend, it is expected to continue in that trend for the short-term. If a trend dissipates, RT will gravitate toward 1.00. RT will explode from bottoms, dive from tops, and reflect changes in price momentum. VectorVest favors the purchase of stocks with RT ratings above 1.00.

VST (VST-Vector): VST is the master indicator for ranking every stock in the VectorVest database. MRK has a VST rating of 0.94, which is fair on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. VST is computed from the square root of a weighted sum of the squares of RV, RS, and RT. Stocks with the highest VST ratings have the best combinations of Value, Safety and Timing. These are the stocks to own for above average, long-term capital appreciation. VectorVest advocates the purchase of safe, undervalued stocks rising in price.

CI (Comfort Index): CI is an indicator which reflects a stock's ability to resist severe and/or lengthy price declines. MRK has a CI rating of 0.50, which is poor on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. CI is quite different from RS in that it is based solely upon a stock's long-term price history. VectorVest advocates the purchase of high CI stocks.

GRT (Earnings Growth Rate): GRT reflects a company's one to three year forecasted earnings growth rate in percent per year. MRK has a forecasted Earnings Growth Rate of -6.00%, which VectorVest considers to be very poor. GRT is computed from historical, current and forecasted earnings data. It is updated each week for every stock in the VectorVest database. GRT often foretells a stock's future price trend. If a stock's GRT trend is upward, the stock's price will likely rise. If GRT is trending downward, the stock's Price will probably fall. VectorVest favors the purchase of stocks whose GRT is rising and is greater than the sum of current inflation and interest rates, (9.17%).

Recommendation (REC): VectorVest gives a Buy, Sell, Hold recommendation on every stock, every day. MRK has a Sell recommendation. REC reflects the cumulative effect of all the VectorVest parameters working together. These parameters are designed to help investors buy safe, undervalued stocks rising in price. They also help investors avoid or sell risky, overvalued stocks falling in price. VectorVest recommends that investors buy high VST-Vector, Buy-rated stocks in rising markets.

Stop (Stop-Price): Stop is an indicator of when to sell a long position or cover a short position. MRK has a Stop of $26.55 per share. This is $0.7 above MRK's current closing Price. A stock's Stop is computed from a 13 week moving average of its closing prices, and is fine-tuned according to the stock's fundamentals. High RV, high RS stocks have lower Stops, and low RV, low RS stocks have higher Stops. In the VectorVest system, a stock gets a 'B' or 'H' recommendation if its Price is above its Stop and an 'S' recommendation if its Price is below its Stop.

EPS (Earnings per Share): EPS stands for leading 12 months Earnings Per Share. MRK has a forecasted EPS of $2.45 per share. VectorVest determines this forecast from a combination of recent earnings performance and traditional fiscal and/or calendar year earnings forecasts.

P/E (Price to Earnings Ratio): P/E is a popular measure of stock valuation which shows the dollars required to buy one dollar of earnings. MRK has a P/E of 10.55. This ratio may be deemed to be high or low depending upon your frame of reference. The average P/E of all the stocks in the VectorVest database is 25.35. P/E is computed daily using the formula: P/E = Price/EPS.

EY (Earnings Yield): EY reflects earnings per share as a percent of Price. EY is related to P/E via the formula, EY = 100 / (P/E), and may be used in place of P/E as a measure of valuation. EY has the advantages that it is always determinate and can reflect negative earnings. MRK has an EY of 9.47 percent. This is above the current average of 3.93% for all the stocks in the VectorVest database. EY equals 100 x (EPS/Price).

GPE (Growth to P/E Ratio): GPE is another popular measure of stock valuation. It compares earnings growth rate to P/E ratio. MRK has a GPE rating of -0.56. High growth stocks are believed to be able to justify high P/E ratios. A stock is commonly considered to be undervalued when GPE is greater than 1.00 and overvalued when GPE is below 1.00. Unfortunately, this rule of thumb does not take into account the effect of interest rates on P/E ratios. The operative GPE ratio of 1.00 is valid when and only when interest rates equal 10%. With long-term interest rates currently at 5.57%, the operative GPE ratio is 0.31. Therefore, MRK may be considered to be overvalued.

DIV (Dividend): VectorVest reports annual, regular, cash dividends as indicated by the most recent payments. Special distributions, one-time payments, stock dividends, etc., are not generally included in DIV. MRK pays a dividend of $1.52 per share.

DY (Dividend Yield): DY reflects dividend per share as a percent of Price. MRK has a Dividend Yield of 5.88%. This is above the current average of 1.36% for all the stocks in the VectorVest database. DY equals 100 x (DIV/Price). It is useful to compare DY with EY. If DY is not significantly lower than EY, the dividend payment may be in jeopardy.

DS (Dividend Safety): DS is an indicator of the assurance that regular cash dividends will be declared and paid at current or at higher rates for the foreseeable future. MRK has a Dividend Safety of 51 , which is good on a scale of 0 to 99. Stocks with DS values above 75 typically have RS values well above 1.00 and EY levels that are much higher than DY.


DG (Dividend Growth Rate): Dividend Growth is a subtle yet important indicator of a company's financial performance. It also provides some insight into the board's outlook on the company's ability to increase earnings. MRK has a Dividend Growth of -3% This is below to the current average of 2% for all the stocks in the VectorVest database.

YSG (YSG-Vector): YSG is an indicator which combines DIV, DY and DG into a single value, and allows direct comparison of all dividend-paying stocks in the database. MRK has a YSG rating of 1.11, which is good on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. Stocks with the highest YSG values have the best combinations of Dividend Yield, Safety and Growth. These are the stocks to buy for above average current income and long-term growth.

Open: MRK opened trading at a price of $27.35 per share on 10/7/2005.

High: MRK traded at a High price of $27.53 per share on 10/7/2005.

Low: MRK traded at a Low price of $25.50 per share on 10/7/2005

Close: MRK closed trading at price $25.85 per share on 10/7/2005. (Close is also called Price in the VectorVest system)

Range: Range reflects the difference between the High and Low prices for the day. MRK traded with a range of $2.03 per share on 10/7/2005.

$Change: MRK closed down 0.98 from the prior day's closing Price.

%PRC: MRK's Price changed -3.65% from the prior day's closing price.

Volume: MRK traded 13,788,300 shares on 10/7/2005.

AvgVol: AvgVol is the 50 day moving average of daily volume as computed by VectorVest. MRK has an AvgVol of 9,887,000 shares traded per day.

%Vol: %Vol reflects the percent change in today's trading volume as compared to the AvgVol. %Vol equals ((Volume - AvgVol) / AvgVol ) * 100. MRK had a %Vol of 39.46% on 10/7/2005

Sales: MRK has annual sales of $22,607,000,000.00

Sales Growth: Sales Growth is the Sales Growth Rate in percent over the last 12 months. MRK has a Sales Growth of -10.00% per year. This is very poor. Sales Growth is updated each week for every stock. It is often useful to compare Sales Growth to Earnings Growth to gain an insight into a company's operations.

Sales Per Share (SPS): MRK has annual sales of $10.29 per share. SPS can be used as a measure of valuation when comparing stocks within an Industry Group.

Price to Sales Ratio (P/S): MRK has a P/S of 2.51. This ratio is also used as a measure of valuation. Here, too, it is useful when comparing stocks within an Industry Group.

Shares: MRK has 2,198,000,000.00 shares of stock outstanding.

Market Capitalization: MRK has a Market Capitalization of $56,819,000,000.00. Market Capitalization is calculated by multiplying price times shares outstanding.

Industry Group: MRK has been assigned to the Drug (Ethical) Industry Group. VectorVest classifies stocks into over 200 Industry Groups and 40 Business Sectors.

Business Sector: MRK has been assigned to the Drug Business Sector. VectorVest classifies stocks into over 200 Industry Groups and 40 Business Sectors.

The basic strategy of VectorVest is to buy Low risk, High reward stocks. We suggest that Prudent investors buy enough High Relative Value, High Relative Safety stocks to keep the overall RV and RS ratings of their portfolios above 1.00. As you do this, you'll find that your risk will go down and your investment performance will improve.



And as Jack always says: "You can't handle the truth! Son"

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