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Friday, October 05, 2012 5:22:51 PM
c) The case will not make it to trial. The case will be just like the Yahoo (YHOO)/Overture patent case. This is the case where the Lang patents were specifically scratched out and where Google was certainly aware of them (See my original article. See definition of "willful infringement" and how a judge can then aware triple damages).
If the case does not make it trial what could happen. There's a lot of speculation. Maxim just said Google could buy Vringo. I don't think that will happen.
(And note: I love Google. I think they will do the right thing. See, "10 Things You Didn't Know About Google")
We already have a playbook for what will happen. Yahoo. My back of the envelope math (I don't work very hard and I have a lot of envelopes lying around) shows that the stock Google gave Yahoo would be worth $1.8 billion now. So that's the playbook. I think Google should give Vringo $1.8 billion in stock combined with a guarantee from Vringo that they can't sue any more of Google's customers. I would be terrified of someone suing all of my customers. It seems like that's a great way to lose a lot of customers.
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