NanoViricides Inc. (NNVC)

[Puffer]

I view this more of a 1:1:1 possibility so I might be a shade more optimistic than you.

About a 1/3 a chance this goes to zero (or effectively so)

About a 1/3 chance we make some (but not buckets) of money in the long run (>1-2 years from present)

About a 1/3 chance we all get to retire in style and grace in the long run (again >1-2 more years from present).

I don't see any middle ground here. Either the treatment works in humans and the stock goes to the moon, or it doesn't work and the stock goes to zero. A purely binary outcome.