NanoViricides Inc. (NNVC)

[jg35]

That is typical of the posts here. There are many drugs that work in mice but are either unsafe or don't work in humans. But if you dare point out that Fluicide is far from a sure thing at this point you are equated with the idiots who say the moon landings were faked.

Current Price of Stock = F * P where F = price of stock if Fluicide is proven to be safe and effective in humans and P = the market's collective estimate of the probability that Fluicide will be proven safe and effective in humans.

The current price of NNVC is about 0.65. I think that most people here agree that *if* Fluicide is proven safe and effective in humans then NNVC will have a share price north of $5. (Plenty of people here will say "North of $50!", "North of $500!", but let's be conservative). It follows that the *market* (not me) is estimating P at <= 0.13. That is, the market sees only a 13% chance of success, at best. So I'm not the only one who believes that this is a risky speculation.