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Re: None

Sunday, 08/05/2012 4:55:16 PM

Sunday, August 05, 2012 4:55:16 PM

Post# of 58
Gold's multi-year march forward stopped when it went parabolic right around current resistance around 1640. Typically this happens when the market drivers are all in and start promoting it to the masses.

For a year it has gone sideways with support at 1550 - bottom of its old upchannel. It is now well under the multi-year uptrend and has the highest volume by price since it was under 1200.

I could see it taking another crack at $1900, where I extrapolate the bottom of the old up-channel.

Catalysts: Euro maintenance, US Quantitative Easement "x", or China having slower growth rates. Note that Gold was down when BRICs and China were down, so I am not sure there really is any further flight of foreign capaital from China to gold, but there might be extradition of wealth from RMB to gold.

Doubts: Instead of banging repeatedly into resistance, it has skimmed repeatedly along thin ice. It acts like the supposed market manipulators have a price (1550) they are willing to sell at and that when they are done we'll here what a bad investment (tech stocks, real estate, oil...) gold was at these prices and that it was just another "tulip craze".



Let's cut through the BS...