Golfin and anyone following this thread. Let's keep the dialogue professional.
True confession time: Finding Hurst is like finding religion. I spent 3 years betting against Airedale and Hurst in situations just like this one where all the evidence (to my mind) said the market should go lower, and then it would mysteriously reverse and go up. When this happened I was suspicious of market manipulation or Airedale's good luck, and on the rare occasion Airedale was wrong, I would use this as a reason to dismiss his views. Big mistake.
Hurst is *not* just a system where we impose rigid cycle periods on the market. It is a complete system for interpreting the market signals and trend. Given how effective this system is, it is odd how few get it. Even among professional analysts who claim to use Hurst, only the smaller percentage apply it with any practical consistency.
Mastering Hurst as practiced by Airedale, Cash, and USA is the best thing a trader/investor could do. Sticking with this one point of view in no way screens out common sense because it is common sense itself. For example, if the market were to collapse out of this 2.5-week cycle, no one on this board would fight that signal. Hurst gives us the tools to interpret the message with reasonable accuracy and consistency.
Blackbelt