InvestorsHub Logo
Followers 161
Posts 14045
Boards Moderated 2
Alias Born 02/27/2008

Re: oaps222 post# 2020

Wednesday, 05/23/2012 2:15:35 PM

Wednesday, May 23, 2012 2:15:35 PM

Post# of 7437
How do you get to the point of seeing that anyone has bought and is holding 7 million shares ?

What I see in the charts a lot of shares being dumped in the last half of December... with that pattern continuing on declining money flow into January. There's a big red gash of "distribution"... and no compensating accumulation occurring until it began dropping lower in April... and by then it was trading insignificant volume.

Look at the monthly charts. A big red candle with 11 million shares in December... paired with the drop from over $5 to under $2. Then, in January, another big red candle, again with 11 million shares in volume... showing a churn between $1.80 and $1.20. Then, in February, another big red candle, 7.8 million shares, with a churn between $1.70 and $0.70. Then, volume in March was half February, while it stuck near $1, and volume in April was half that in March even as it resumed the decline...

The outstanding is only 7 million shares... so (given that 11+11+7.8= 28.8) it turned over more than 4 times in the three months of December, January and February...

Looks like a routine sort of "deflation" trade in a failing stock, to me, without there being any evidence I can see that anyone has found it useful to try to accumulate a meaningful position ?

I see "distribution" in the charts... and that's probably what has really happened, too... a distribution of a more concentrated position held by institutions... transferring those shares from institutions to a far more diffuse group of smaller bagholders ?

If it were insiders or debt holders who bought up the entire outstanding... we'd have to know about it. Anyone owning more than 700K would have to have filed showing a 10% interest ?

The leveraged model they've adopted works great in generating cash and profits when the market supports their business... but, when it doesn't... that leverage cuts both ways.

I think that's all we see... smart money getting out of the way before the realized risk in the leverage cut through bone...


Join InvestorsHub

Join the InvestorsHub Community

Register for free to join our community of investors and share your ideas. You will also get access to streaming quotes, interactive charts, trades, portfolio, live options flow and more tools.