InvestorsHub Logo
Post# of 252609
Next 10
Followers 831
Posts 120052
Boards Moderated 17
Alias Born 09/05/2002

Re: iwfal post# 142030

Wednesday, 05/16/2012 6:41:31 PM

Wednesday, May 16, 2012 6:41:31 PM

Post# of 252609

EXAS—I assume that individual tests are "1/2" independent or so but think that growth of lesions over time will counteract that issue when the tests are 3 years apart. But I have to think through the ramifications of that assumption.

The concept of cumulative sensitivity is still in play (to a lesser degree, of course) if individual test results are only “1/2 independent.” Using whatever definition of half independence you prefer and adding assumptions of your choice about, inter alia, the rate of change of undetected lesions, I think you’ll find that ColoGuard’s cumulative-sensitivity arithmetic is still compelling (and is not widely understood by investors).

I’m looking forward to your analysis.

“The efficient-market hypothesis may be
the foremost piece of B.S. ever promulgated
in any area of human knowledge!”

Join the InvestorsHub Community

Register for free to join our community of investors and share your ideas. You will also get access to streaming quotes, interactive charts, trades, portfolio, live options flow and more tools.