I actually agree with "good chance" statement, I was just more conservative in my own statement.
In granting Vpriv's EU exclusivity, one of the key items is
Significant benefit over existing treatments
The COMP concluded that the claim of a significant benefit of Vpriv over Cerezyme is justified on the basis of its potential major contribution to patient care in light of the current unsatisfactory supply situation for Cerezyme. For patients diagnosed with type 1 Gaucher disease, Vpriv can represent an alternative treatment to Cerezyme, should the supply problems that are occurring with this medicine continue or happen again in the future.
Thus Cerezyme shortage played major role in Vpriv getting exclusivity. This is no longer true, shouldn't be reason for preventing new treatment into the market, so it is quite possible it is overturned now IMO.
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